Although
an ecosystem sustained by innate change, the Northern Great Plains
will demonstrate significant impact in the future due to modern
changes that threaten the well being and natural development of the
ecosystem (“Northern Great Plains”).
The
land's fertile farmland sustains the production of several crops.
Grassland conversion into crops plays a significant role in the
future of the Northern Great Plains. Wheat, corn, and soybeans are
the major crops in the area. Wheat, taking up 1, 037, 843 acres of
land, is the most produced crop in the Northern Great
Plains(Rashford). Studies investigate the impacts of changes in crop
prices, government payments and climate in order to obtain an
enhanced understanding on the possibility of grassland conversion in
the Northern Great Plains (Rashford).Grassland in North Dakota faces
the greatest risk of grassland conversion due to the increase of
price on corn (Rashford). If crop prices increase linearly until
2030, North and South Dakota are expected to lose 3 million acres of
grassland to cropland; however, Montana, Wyoming, and Nebraska will
maintain its grasslands (Rashford). By 2060, an additional 700,00
acres of grassland will disappear in North and South Dakota
(Rashford). Government payments also influence landowners in making
the decision to convert grassland into crops; thus, without
government security, the Northern Great Plains would inhabit an
additional 5.5 million acres of grassland (Rashford).
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This chart illustrates a comparison of the presence of cropland in the Northern Great Plains (Rashford). |
The
grassland also faces great threat with the possibility of extreme
climate change (“Northern Great Plains”). Areas that are
predicted to become warmer and wetter are more likely to be chosen
for cropland; whereas, regions that are expected to become warmer and
drier are most likely to be safe from grassland conversion Rashford).
Eastern Montana, an area currently suitable for cropland, may become
much more appealing for cropland (Rashford).
Without
a doubt, grassland conversion and climate change significantly
disturbs the biological cycles in the Northern Great Plains. Species
that better prosper in certain habitats will be forced to migrate.
These species will find it difficult to adapt to new environments
that do not suit their chances for survival (Shafer). North Dakota
hosts 40% of the 1 million waterfowl that settle in the region
(Rashford). Waterfowls are expected to move from North Dakota to
Montana and South Dakota; thus, implicating a greater significance on
wetlands in these areas in order to protect the waterfowls
(Rashford).
If
more changes are introduced into the ecosystem, the biological
balances within the ecosystem will be disturbed and affect the
species that are dependent on various natural factors. Human
activities must find a manner to simultaneously exist with species
that thrive within the ecosystem.